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Zonovan Knight

Zonovan Knight Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Zonovan Knight Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+184/-235).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +196 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +184.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 62.4% of their downs: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (61.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cardinals.
  • At the moment, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Arizona Cardinals.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • While Bam Knight has been responsible for 45.5% of his team's red zone rush attempts in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Arizona's ground game near the end zone this week at 19.1%.
  • The Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • With a lackluster 75.6% Adjusted Completion Rate (18th percentile) this year, Bam Knight has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.
  • This year, Bam Knight has not caught any touchdowns through the air this year.
  • Bam Knight has rushed for 0.57 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to running backs (91st percentile).

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