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Zonovan Knight

Zonovan Knight Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Zonovan Knight Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+144/-182).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -178 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -182.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The model projects the Cardinals as the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.5% red zone pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Bam Knight to be much less involved in his team's ground game near the end zone in this game (10.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (43.3% in games he has played).
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
  • With a very bad ratio of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Bam Knight places among the bottom receiving TD-scorers in the league among running backs this year.
  • Bam Knight has run for 0.50 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest marks in football among running backs (89th percentile).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers rank as the best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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