Zonovan Knight Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.5 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Bam Knight to be much less involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (21.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (41.6% in games he has played).
Favors Under
The Cardinals are a giant 10-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 33.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Houston's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.