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Zonovan Knight

Zonovan Knight Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Zonovan Knight Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
  • This week, Bam Knight is projected by the projections to rank in the 78th percentile among running backs with 14.4 rush attempts.
  • The leading projections forecast Bam Knight to be a less important option in his team's rushing attack this week (9.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (37.9% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a -3-point underdog this week.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to run on 36.6% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Jaguars linebackers rank as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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