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Zay Jones

Zay Jones Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Zay Jones Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+830/-1300).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +900 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +830.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (57.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the league vs. the Titans defense since the start of last season (73.5% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cardinals as the 9th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a low 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Zay Jones rates as one of the WRs with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.
  • Zay Jones's 9.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) grades out among the worst in the league: 17th percentile for wide receivers.

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