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Zay Jones

Zay Jones Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Zay Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • This year, the weak Titans pass defense has conceded a colossal 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-worst rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cardinals as the 9th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Zay Jones's 9.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) grades out among the worst in the league: 17th percentile for wide receivers.
  • Zay Jones profiles as one of the bottom WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a measly 1.2 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 13th percentile among wideouts.

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