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Zay Jones

Zay Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Arizona Cardinals

Zay Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see 132.6 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The New Orleans Saints defense has been something of pass funnel last year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (34.4 per game) last year.

When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 10th-best in football last year.

Last year, the poor Saints defense has given up the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a staggering 4.93 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Cardinals, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Zay Jones has been been lightly used his team's offense, posting a Target Share of just 3.2% last year, which ranks in the 13th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Zay Jones has accrued a paltry 11.0 air yards per game last year: just 25th percentile among wideouts.

Zay Jones ranks as one of the weakest wide receivers in the game last year, averaging a mere 13.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 14th percentile among wide receivers.

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