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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+164/-178).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -178.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Zay Flowers has been responsible for 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Baltimore's pass game near the end zone in this contest at 18.5%.
  • As it relates to air yards, Zay Flowers ranks in the towering 83rd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accruing a striking 75.0 per game.
  • Zay Flowers ranks in the 87th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a monstrous 62.6 figure since the start of last season.
  • Zay Flowers's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.7% to 70.4%.
  • Zay Flowers ranks in the 76th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.25 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 8th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 46.5% red zone run rate.
  • At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks grade out as the best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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