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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

Zay Flowers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+111/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

The predictive model expects Zay Flowers to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack near the goal line in this week's game (20.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.3% in games he has played).

In regards to air yards, Zay Flowers ranks in the towering 85th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 78.0 per game.

Zay Flowers's 71.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a substantial progression in his receiving skills over last year's 65.7% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 6th-most run-centric team in football near the goal line (46.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Baltimore Ravens.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.3 plays per game.

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