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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+345/-390).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -445 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -390.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens will be forced to start backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.6 per game) this year.
  • While Zay Flowers has received 15.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Baltimore's pass game near the goal line in this game at 22.8%.
  • Zay Flowers has accrued a monstrous 71.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Zay Flowers's 68.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks among the league leaders: 94th percentile for WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 49.3% of their opportunities: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the league near the goal line (51.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Ravens.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see just 121.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Ravens have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year.

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