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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+192/-215).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -215.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Zay Flowers has accounted for 13.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Baltimore's passing attack near the end zone in this contest at 21.5%.
  • Zay Flowers's 65.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in football: 91st percentile for WRs.
  • Zay Flowers's 72.2% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a noteworthy growth in his receiving proficiency over last season's 65.7% mark.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-focused team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.6% red zone run rate.
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • After accruing 75.0 air yards per game last season, Zay Flowers has been a disappointment this season, now boasting 68.0 per game.

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