reorder

Zay Flowers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Zay Flowers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -255 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -225.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

While Zay Flowers has earned 14.6% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Baltimore's pass game near the end zone in this week's game at 21.1%.

Zay Flowers rates in the 89th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 63.4 mark this year.

Zay Flowers's 72.1% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a meaningful boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 65.7% figure.

This year, the poor Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed a monstrous 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.

The model projects the Ravens as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 5th-most run-oriented team in football in the red zone (48.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.

At a massive 30.21 seconds per snap, the Ravens offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.

Zay Flowers has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).

More Zay Flowers Player Props

Zay Flowers TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Zay Flowers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14