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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+154/-158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -158.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 129.7 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • While Zay Flowers has garnered 15.4% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Baltimore's offense near the goal line in this contest at 21.8%.
  • Zay Flowers ranks in the 91st percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) with an impressive 64.6 mark this year.
  • Zay Flowers's 76.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 65.7% mark.
  • The Bengals pass defense has been gouged for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.9%) to wide receivers this year (67.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 48.5% red zone run rate.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a measly 52.0 per game on average).
  • Zay Flowers has posted quite a few less air yards this season (61.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game).

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