reorder

Zay Flowers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Zay Flowers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+138/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -174.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

While Zay Flowers has been responsible for 15.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Baltimore's passing attack near the end zone in this game at 21.2%.

Zay Flowers rates in the 91st percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 65.0 mark this year.

Zay Flowers's 75.8% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 65.7% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.3% red zone run rate.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

After accumulating 75.0 air yards per game last year, Zay Flowers has regressed heavily this year, now sitting at 62.0 per game.

More Zay Flowers Player Props

Zay Flowers TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Zay Flowers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12