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Zay Flowers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Zay Flowers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-205).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -205.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

While Zay Flowers has earned 17.2% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Baltimore's passing attack near the goal line this week at 23.3%.

Zay Flowers has been in the 93rd percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) with an impressive 66.5 figure this year.

Zay Flowers's 76.7% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a meaningful gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 65.7% mark.

This year, the weak Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered a monstrous 1.11 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing WRs: the 8th-worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 5th-most run-focused offense in football in the red zone (48.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Ravens.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 51.6 per game on average).

The weather report calls for 24-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

More Zay Flowers Player Props

Zay Flowers TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Zay Flowers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11