My Account Log Out
 
 
Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+148/-166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +148.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Zay Flowers to be much more involved in his team's pass game near the end zone in this week's contest (23.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.4% in games he has played).
  • Zay Flowers places in the 94th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 68.3 figure this year.
  • Zay Flowers's 77.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows an impressive progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 65.7% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Right now, the 5th-most run-centric offense in football near the goal line (47.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.
  • Zay Flowers has notched quite a few less air yards this season (67.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™