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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

In this week's game, Zay Flowers is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.9 targets.

With a remarkable 28.5% Target Rate (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers places as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.

With a terrific 4.6 adjusted catches per game (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers stands among the leading WRs in the league in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.3 plays per game.

The Lions pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (63.6%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (63.6%).

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