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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-134/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this contest, Zay Flowers is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.9 targets.

With a high 27.9% Target% (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers places as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in football.

With a remarkable 4.5 adjusted receptions per game (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers has been as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 12.5 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 47.3% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

The Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.6%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (62.6%).

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