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Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Ravens will be forced to start backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.The Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.6 per game) this year.With an exceptional 94.9% Route Participation% (96th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers ranks among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.The predictive model expects Zay Flowers to notch 8.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among WRs.With a fantastic 4.8 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers has been as one of the top wide receivers in the league in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 49.3% of their opportunities: the lowest clip on the slate this week.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see just 121.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.The Ravens have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year.As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's unit has been excellent this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.
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