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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an exceptional 94.6% Route Participation Rate (96th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers places as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league.
  • In this week's contest, Zay Flowers is projected by the predictive model to finish in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.4 targets.
  • With a remarkable 4.9 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates among the best wide receivers in the NFL in football.
  • Zay Flowers's 72.2% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a noteworthy growth in his receiving proficiency over last season's 65.7% mark.
  • The Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (66.5%) to WRs this year (66.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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