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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+134/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -153 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 129.7 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • In this week's contest, Zay Flowers is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.4 targets.
  • Zay Flowers has been a big part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 28.8% this year, which places him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Zay Flowers has been one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an outstanding 4.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.
  • Zay Flowers's 76.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 65.7% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a measly 52.0 per game on average).
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.

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