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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this week's game, Zay Flowers is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.0 targets.
  • With a high 28.7% Target Rate (96th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers places among the WRs with the most usage in the NFL.
  • With an impressive 4.8 adjusted catches per game (91st percentile) this year, Zay Flowers places as one of the top wide receivers in the league in football.
  • Zay Flowers's 75.8% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 65.7% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
  • The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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