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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) last year.

In this week's game, Zay Flowers is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 88th percentile among wideouts with 7.9 targets.

Zay Flowers has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 27.0% last year, which ranks him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.

With a remarkable 4.3 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) last year, Zay Flowers stands among the top pass-catching wide receivers in the league.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71%) vs. wide receivers last year (71.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.49 seconds per play.

More Zay Flowers Player Props

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