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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the predictive model to run 65.7 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • With a high 91.5% Route% (89th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers ranks among the WRs with the highest volume in football.
  • In this game, Zay Flowers is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 75th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 6.4 targets.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.
  • Zay Flowers profiles as one of the best WRs in the league this year, averaging a terrific 4.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.2%) to wideouts this year (57.2%).

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