Zay Flowers Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Zay Flowers

NFL · Player Props

Zay Flowers

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2024

Updated Oct 27, 2024 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Zay Flowers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the predictive model to run 65.7 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
With a high 91.5% Route% (89th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers ranks among the WRs with the highest volume in football.
In this game, Zay Flowers is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 75th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 6.4 targets.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.
Zay Flowers profiles as one of the best WRs in the league this year, averaging a terrific 4.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

Favors Under

With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.
The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.2%) to wideouts this year (57.2%).

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