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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 66.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup QB Lamar Jackson this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The projections expect Zay Flowers to accrue 7.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
  • Zay Flowers has accrued a colossal 71.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Zay Flowers's 70.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 62.1.
  • Zay Flowers profiles as one of the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging a terrific 57.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 87th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a massive favorite in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their standard game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see just 120.9 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 3rd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Dolphins, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 29.0 per game) this year.

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