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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Zay Flowers has run a route on 94.7% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among WRs.
  • This week, Zay Flowers is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.1 targets.
  • With an outstanding 57.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (88th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates as one of the best WRs in the game in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 49.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 132.7 total plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been run by the Ravens this year (just 49.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.
  • After accruing 75.0 air yards per game last season, Zay Flowers has undergone a big decline this season, currently boasting 68.0 per game.

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