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Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-114/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -114.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.Zay Flowers has run a route on 95.1% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among WRs.The projections expect Zay Flowers to accrue 8.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.With an excellent 61.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (94th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers stands as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.The Ravens offense has played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.46 seconds per snap.After accumulating 75.0 air yards per game last season, Zay Flowers has fallen off this season, currently averaging 68.0 per game.The Ravens O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
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