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Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-111/-111).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -111.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Ravens will be forced to start backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.The Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.6 per game) this year.With an exceptional 94.9% Route Participation% (96th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers ranks among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.The predictive model expects Zay Flowers to notch 8.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among WRs.Zay Flowers has accrued a monstrous 71.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 49.3% of their opportunities: the lowest clip on the slate this week.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see just 121.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.The Ravens have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year.Zay Flowers's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this season, accumulating a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.14 rate last season.
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