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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • Zay Flowers has run a route on 94.5% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The leading projections forecast Zay Flowers to total 8.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • With a fantastic 56.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (89th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers has been as one of the leading pass-catching WRs in the NFL.
  • Zay Flowers's 72.1% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a meaningful boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 65.7% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At a massive 30.21 seconds per snap, the Ravens offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • Zay Flowers has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).
  • The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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