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Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's game, Zay Flowers is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.0 targets.

With a high 28.7% Target Rate (96th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers places among the WRs with the most usage in the NFL.

With an excellent 60.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (92nd percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates among the leading wide receivers in the NFL in football.

Zay Flowers's 75.8% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 65.7% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

After accumulating 75.0 air yards per game last year, Zay Flowers has regressed heavily this year, now sitting at 62.0 per game.

The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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Zay Flowers Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12