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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-114/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • In this week's contest, Zay Flowers is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.3 targets.
  • With a high 29.7% Target% (96th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers has been as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.
  • Zay Flowers rates as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an excellent 59.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.
  • Zay Flowers's 76.7% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a meaningful gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 65.7% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 51.6 per game on average).
  • The weather report calls for 24-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.1 per game) this year.

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