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Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to run the 10th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

With a sizeable 91.4% Route Participation Rate (89th percentile) last year, Zay Flowers rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

This week, Zay Flowers is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets.

Zay Flowers grades out in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs last year with a massive 23.7% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 55.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense last year: 4th-fewest in football.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 121.0) to wideouts last year.

Last year, the daunting Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a measly 7.3 yards.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been excellent last year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

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