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Zamir White Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+670/-1550).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1550.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.The Raiders rank as the 5th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.3% red zone pass rate.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to see 133.6 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.The rushing TD column reads "0" on Zamir White's stats page this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.With a poor 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Zamir White ranks as one of the RB receiving threats with the lowest volume near the end zone in the league.When it comes to air yards, Zamir White ranks in the measly 9th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling just -3.0 per game.Zamir White grades out as one of the most unreliable receivers in football when it comes to running backs, hauling in just 61.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.The receiving TD field reads "0" on the back of Zamir White's trading card this year.
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