Zamir White Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Zamir White

NFL · Player Props

Zamir White

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 3, 2025

Updated Sep 22, 2025 12:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Zamir White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
Since the start of last season, the weak Commanders run defense has allowed a monstrous 130.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 7th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to be the 7th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Zamir White to be a much smaller part of his team's ground game this week (11.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (34.0% in games he has played).
With a terrible rate of 2.64 adjusted yards per carry (24th percentile) since the start of last season, Zamir White stands among the weakest pure rushers in the NFL at the position.
The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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