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Zamir White

Zamir White Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Zamir White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Commanders run defense has allowed a monstrous 130.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 7th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to be the 7th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects Zamir White to be a much smaller part of his team's ground game this week (11.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (34.0% in games he has played).
  • With a terrible rate of 2.64 adjusted yards per carry (24th percentile) since the start of last season, Zamir White stands among the weakest pure rushers in the NFL at the position.
  • The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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