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Zack Moss Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-120/-108).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -108.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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With a 7-point advantage, the Bengals are heavily favored in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.In this game, Zack Moss is expected by the projection model to land in the 75th percentile among running backs with 12.8 rush attempts.Out of all RBs, Zack Moss ranks in the 85th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 55.3% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.With a terrific rate of 55.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (81st percentile), Zack Moss rates as one of the top RBs in football since the start of last season.The Commanders defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, conceding 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to run on 36.6% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals.Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Washington's LB corps has been outstanding since the start of last season, ranking as the best in football.
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