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Zack Moss

Zack Moss Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Zack Moss Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast Zack Moss to accrue 12.5 carries in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Zack Moss has received 52.4% of his offense's rushing play calls since the start of last season, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

Zack Moss has grinded out 56.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football when it comes to running backs (82nd percentile).

Since the start of last season, the imposing Chiefs run defense has allowed a puny 4.64 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 24th-best rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to run on 33.8% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Bengals have called the 6th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.

The Kansas City defensive tackles project as the 4th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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