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Zack Moss

Zack Moss Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Zack Moss Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-124/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bengals as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Zack Moss has gone out for more passes this year (56.8% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (46.2%).
  • Our trusted projections expect Zack Moss to accrue 4.1 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Zack Moss's receiving talent has gotten better this season, averaging 3.0 adjusted catches compared to just 1.9 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.3 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • With a bad 78.7% Adjusted Catch Rate (24th percentile) this year, Zack Moss has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's LB corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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