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Zack Moss

Zack Moss Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Carolina Panthers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Zack Moss Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Zack Moss's 57.6% Route Participation Rate this year represents a material growth in his pass game volume over last year's 46.2% figure.

In this contest, Zack Moss is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 86th percentile among RBs with 3.7 targets.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Carolina's safety corps has been terrible since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 5 points.

Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the predictive model expects this game (with an average of 27.26 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-most sluggish tempo on the slate this week.

The Bengals have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 56.4 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.1 per game) since the start of last season.

Zack Moss's 72.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a remarkable decline in his receiving ability over last season's 77.8% rate.

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