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Zack Moss

Zack Moss Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders

Zack Moss Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

The Commanders defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (35.1 per game) since the start of last season.

With an impressive 46.8% Route Participation Rate (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Zack Moss ranks among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the league.

Our trusted projections expect Zack Moss to accrue 3.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Bengals are heavily favored in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.

At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals.

Zack Moss ranks as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league among RBs, hauling in just 75.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 24th percentile.

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