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Zack Moss

Zack Moss Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Zack Moss Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their downs: the highest frequency on the slate this week.

With a top-tier 46.4% Route% (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Zack Moss places as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in football.

In this game, Zack Moss is forecasted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.2 targets.

Since the start of last season, the poor Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been gouged for a massive 87.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 3rd-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Bengals have called the 6th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.0 per game) since the start of last season.

With a poor 75.0% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) since the start of last season, Zack Moss places as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among RBs.

More Zack Moss Player Props

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