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Zack Moss

Zack Moss Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Cincinnati Bengals

Zack Moss Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bengals as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Zack Moss has gone out for more passes this year (56.8% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (46.2%).

Our trusted projections expect Zack Moss to accrue 4.1 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Zack Moss's 24.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents a material boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 15.0 figure.

Zack Moss's 8.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a noteworthy gain in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 6.0% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.3 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

With a bad 78.7% Adjusted Catch Rate (24th percentile) this year, Zack Moss has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's LB corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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