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Zack Moss

Zack Moss Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Zack Moss Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may drop.
  • Zack Moss has run a route on 44.7% of his offense's passing plays last year, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
  • In this game, Zack Moss is predicted by the projections to land in the 82nd percentile among RBs with 3.2 targets.
  • Zack Moss has compiled a colossal 1.0 air yards per game last year: 81st percentile among running backs. (This may not seem like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a giant 9-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have just 123.8 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

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