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Zack Moss

Zack Moss Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Zack Moss Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are predicted by the model to run only 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles safeties project as the 32nd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Bengals to be the 2nd-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 36.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 53.0 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • While Zack Moss has received 46.9% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Cincinnati's rushing attack in this contest at 35.6%.

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