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Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Zach Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+190).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Zach Wilson to attempt 37.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
  • The New York Jets offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 54.5% red zone pass rate.
  • The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Zach Wilson has been among the least accurate passers in the league this year with a 58.1% Completion%, checking in at the 11th percentile.
  • Zach Wilson has been among the weakest touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging a paltry 0.60 per game while grading out in the 8th percentile.
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has yielded the 5th-least TDs through the air in the league: 1.00 per game this year.

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