Zach Wilson TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

TD Passes

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Zach Wilson to attempt 37.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
The New York Jets offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 54.5% red zone pass rate.
The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Zach Wilson has been among the least accurate passers in the league this year with a 58.1% Completion%, checking in at the 11th percentile.
Zach Wilson has been among the weakest touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging a paltry 0.60 per game while grading out in the 8th percentile.
The Buffalo Bills defense has yielded the 5th-least TDs through the air in the league: 1.00 per game this year.

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