Zach Wilson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Zach Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Zach Wilson

QB · New York Jets

Carries

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Zach Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos safeties profile as the 32nd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The New York Jets will be forced to use backup QB Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the projection model to run just 61.1 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The New York Jets have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 49.5 plays per game.
In this contest, Zach Wilson is projected by the predictive model to accumulate the 8th-fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 3.1.
The Jets offensive line ranks as the worst in the league last year at opening holes for rushers.

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