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Zach Ertz Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Zach Ertz Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-300).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +250 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +225.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders to run the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

With a high 20.0% Red Zone Target% (91st percentile) this year, Zach Ertz ranks as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.

With an impressive rate of 0.29 per game through the air (79th percentile), Zach Ertz places as one of the top receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to TEs this year.

The Bears pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (85.6%) to TEs this year (85.6%).

The Bears linebackers grade out as the 4th-best collection of LBs in football this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 5.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 54.3% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy team in the NFL in the red zone (46.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Commanders.

The Washington Commanders have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 53.2 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

More Zach Ertz Player Props

Zach Ertz TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Zach Ertz Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6