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Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Zach Ertz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Colt McCoy in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Zach Ertz has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (88.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (73.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 9th-least in football.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.3%) to TEs this year (62.3%).
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line has given their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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