Zach Ertz Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Zach Ertz

NFL · Player Props

Zach Ertz

TE · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Zach Ertz Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Colt McCoy in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Zach Ertz has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (88.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (73.2%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 9th-least in football.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.3%) to TEs this year (62.3%).
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has given their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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