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This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 5.5 points.Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 54.3% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.The Washington Commanders have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 53.2 plays per game.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.Zach Ertz has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (32.0 per game) than he did last year (41.0 per game).
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