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Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders

Zach Ertz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-112/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling with backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.

With a 66.5% rate of passing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL has been the Commanders.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.9 plays per game.

The projections expect Zach Ertz to earn 6.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.

Zach Ertz profiles as one of the worst TEs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 2.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 8th percentile.

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