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Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

Zach Ertz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.

In this game, Zach Ertz is predicted by the projections to slot into the 88th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.6 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Zach Ertz's 60.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 77.2% figure.

Zach Ertz's 6.4 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a noteworthy diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 7.8 mark.

Zach Ertz profiles as one of the worst tight ends in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 2nd percentile.

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